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0xcb59c3db857bae4b9dd41385b152c5d607aee21d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 36% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 36%Verified PnL#398 of 624
Beats 34%30-day PnL#392 of 594
Beats 94%Win rate#35 of 592
Beats 97%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#19 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-28
Last seen2026-08-05
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$22K
Verified lifetime PnL
$248KVolume
94.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
8.49%PnL ÷ Volume
$3877-day PnL
$93030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$22.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $841only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2partial
Liquidity rewards$0
8.91% ROI90.5% Win rate · n=419
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$18.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,525Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Politics · Yes
- +$1,260Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?Politics · Yes
- +$644Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Politics · Yes
- +$554Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week? (April 5)Politics · Yes
- +$508Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$526Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Culture · Yes
- -$524Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?Politics · Yes
- -$406Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)Politics · Yes
- -$286Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Culture · Yes
- -$267Will Trump say "Daddy" in February?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$22KVerified lifetime PnL
$16KEarned off the board
13Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$3877-day PnL
$93030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $124 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $12 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $328 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $44 |
Which boards
Mentions 13
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
43% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio43%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$2
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-29 → 2026-07-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$22K
Verification gap$16K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)