ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsGoldenSpin
0xcba38f8e07955a5f45816753d7c4a6ae8af06055
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#520 of 624
Beats 46%30-day PnL#321 of 594
Beats 15%Win rate#499 of 592
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#516 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-07
Last seen2026-07-07
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.45MVolume
44.3%Win rate · n=201
-0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1,004
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,698only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$555partial
Liquidity rewards$147
-0.03% ROI31.4% Win rate · n=283
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$32.0K · loses the most in Crypto -$6,567
Top 5 winning markets
- +$28.9KWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Politics · Yes
- +$4,512Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?Crypto · Down
- +$3,280Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$2,100Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Crypto · Yes / No
- +$1,434Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,875Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Crypto · Yes
- -$4,785Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Culture · No
- -$4,664Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?Crypto · Yes
- -$1,827Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22?Culture · No
- -$1,790Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Covers the 217 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $800 |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $793 |
Which boards
Culture 13Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
64% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $555 (73% maker / 27% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio64%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$555
Maker rebate$406
Taker rebate$148
Maker share73%
Taker share27%
Window2026-01-11 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$1K
Verification gap-$5K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)