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0xcbbc5e035504421b084ad9248b660f6e9618b5d0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 62% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 62%Verified PnL#232 of 624
Beats 34%30-day PnL#388 of 594
Beats 83%Win rate#97 of 592
Beats 34%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#408 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board42
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-22
Last seen2026-10-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$112K
Verified lifetime PnL
$27.96MVolume
84.7%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.41%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4367-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$112.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $283only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$756partial
Liquidity rewards$752
0.40% ROI37.6% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$190.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$21.3KWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$19.9KWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$19.0KWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$16.1KWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,938Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,541Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Culture · Yes
- -$1,965Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,220Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?Culture · Yes
- -$1,215Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$982Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$112KVerified lifetime PnL
$80KEarned off the board
42Days on board
$32KBoard-day sum
-$4367-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 5 | $11K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $10K |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $288 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $96 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Weather 41Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
83% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $756 (78% maker / 22% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio83%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$756
Maker rebate$592
Taker rebate$163
Maker share78%
Taker share22%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$32K
Verified lifetime PnL$112K
Verification gap$80K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)