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0F62

0xccd81fbd3395dc43a0531f8484b21c2462daf4de

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 4% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 4%Verified PnL#1100 of 1156
Beats 4%30-day PnL#778 of 812
Beats 86%Win rate#134 of 963
Beats 33%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#670 of 1000

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board63
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-06-04
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$231K

Verified lifetime PnL

$36.52MVolume
88%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$323K7-day PnL
-$110K30-day PnL
2026-06 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$231.2K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $5,734only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$24.7Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$56
-0.63% ROI88% Win rate · n=400

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes97% of 499 buys at ≥ 90¢Holds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 2.1 days)Mainly sports100% of last 500 fills (over 2.1 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Sports -$581.0K

Crypto9 pos.-$72.2K
Tech & science2 pos.-$90.7K
Sports389 pos.-$581.0K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$142.2KWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · No
  2. +$137.7KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
  3. +$92.8KWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
  4. +$70.2KUS Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos AlcarazSports · Carlos Alcaraz
  5. +$38.2KWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSports · Jannik Sinner

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$379.0KMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
  2. -$128.0KSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
  3. -$124.9KUS Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete BuSports · Rafael Jodar
  4. -$93.4KCanadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael MonfilsSports · Kamil Majchrzak
  5. -$79.4KWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Sports · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$231KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.02MBelow board-day sum
63Days on board
$786KBoard-day sum
$323K7-day PnL
-$110K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-06 13 $498K
2026-07 18 $84K
2026-08 18 $59K
2026-09 13 $22K
2026-10 1 $124K

Which boards

Sports 58All markets 9Crypto 4Finance 4

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

46% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $25K (8% maker / 92% taker); rebate covers 1% of recent trading losses

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mixed

Passive ratio46%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$25K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$23K
Maker share8%
Taker share92%
Window2026-06-12 → 2026-11-04

Profit composition

Rebate covering trading losses

Trade cash-$734K
Rebate$4K
Net total-$730K
Rebate covers loss1%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$786K
Verified lifetime PnL-$231K
Verification gap-$1.02M

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)