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Tilton-Research
0xcce2b7c71f21e358b8e5e797e586cbc03160d58b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 65% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 65%Verified PnL#400 of 1156
Beats 77%Win rate#220 of 963
Beats 92%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#75 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$88K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.65MVolume
81.7%Win rate · n=213
5.31%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$87.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $270only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$311
5.31% ROI80.7% Win rate · n=217
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$76.1K · loses the most in Crypto -$2,253
Top 5 winning markets
- +$41.3KWill a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?Finance · No
- +$25.5KWill egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?Finance · Yes
- +$6,498Xi Jinping out in 2025?Politics · No
- +$5,925Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?Finance · No
- +$5,637Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$12.1KFed rate hike in 2026?Finance · No
- -$4,676Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Crypto · No
- -$4,272Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Politics · No
- -$2,432Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Crypto · No
- -$1,801Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 213 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$934). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$88KVerified lifetime PnL
$82KEarned off the board
23Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $300 |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $568 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $628 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $254 |
Which boards
Politics 12Culture 8Finance 1Weather 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
84% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio84%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-03
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$88K
Verification gap$82K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)