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bobbymontana
0xcdc0f64c8de7c3c5ab2a49ff4af4162cee5adcd8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 32% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 32%Verified PnL#762 of 1130
Beats 14%30-day PnL#689 of 810
Beats 46%Win rate#497 of 928
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#649 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-05
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.47MVolume
64%Win rate · n=380
0.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$6187-day PnL
-$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$6,506
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $176only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$284partial
Liquidity rewards$2,047
0.26% ROI59.1% Win rate · n=411
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$9,225 · loses the most in Politics -$3,975
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,530USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,869Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Finance · Yes
- +$1,713Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Sports · No
- +$1,650Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Crypto · Yes
- +$1,543Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Sports · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,506Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,375Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Politics · No
- -$1,152Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$1,019Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$875Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Politics · No
Covers the 385 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 31 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$6,365). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$6187-day PnL
-$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $690 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $141 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $101 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $152 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $72 |
Which boards
Politics 5Crypto 4Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $284 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$284
Maker rebate$283
Taker rebate$1
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-30 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$7K
Verification gap$5K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)