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← All boardswhhisky
0xcef6c12ad7036a2cf4e5f5a845fdc9d58a3f2ade
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 21% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 21%Verified PnL#491 of 624
Beats 35%30-day PnL#384 of 594
Beats 86%Win rate#78 of 592
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#416 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-07-28
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$342KVolume
86.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.37%PnL ÷ Volume
$7977-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,253
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$50partial
Liquidity rewards$2
0.37% ROI43% Win rate · n=806
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$1,776 · loses the most in Crypto -$4,659
Top 5 winning markets
- +$238Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?Weather · Yes
- +$215Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?Weather · Yes
- +$161Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?Weather · Yes
- +$108Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?Weather · Yes
- +$101Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 9?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$139BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$131BNB Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$117Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?Weather · Yes
- -$113Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$112BNB Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$349Earned off the board
6Days on board
$904Board-day sum
$7977-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $725 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $70 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $108 |
Which boards
Crypto 2Weather 2Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
21% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $50 (76% maker / 24% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio21%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-11-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$50
Maker rebate$38
Taker rebate$12
Maker share76%
Taker share24%
Window2026-01-27 → 2026-09-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$904
Verified lifetime PnL$1K
Verification gap$349
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)