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0xcf279d521e62d60848dbfba1791617dc9a99f35f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#523 of 625
Beats 27%30-day PnL#379 of 519
Beats 54%Win rate#258 of 566
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#535 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-07-16
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$314KVolume
66%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.84%PnL ÷ Volume
$587-day PnL
$10530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$2,685
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $63only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.85% ROI63% Win rate · n=424
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,019 · loses the most in Politics -$252
Top 5 winning markets
- +$146Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- +$117LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerSports · LOUD
- +$117National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Eva LysSports · Panna Udvardy
- +$94.47Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Culture · Yes
- +$89.4LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerSports · Nongshim Red Force
Top 5 losing markets
- -$76.6Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsSports · Team Spirit
- -$42.14Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?Crypto · No
- -$41.89Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Finance · No
- -$41.62Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerSports · Team Spirit
- -$41.23Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group ASports · Team Liquid
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$702Board-day sum
$587-day PnL
$10530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 4 | $77 |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $478 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $147 |
Which boards
Sports 21
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
20% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $19 (49% maker / 51% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio20%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-10
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$19
Maker rebate$9
Taker rebate$10
Maker share49%
Taker share51%
Window2026-08-06 → 2026-10-28
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$702
Verified lifetime PnL-$3K
Verification gap-$3K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)