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NM-P
0xcf7379b4b891c06d88807f6f70efa75378120215
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 49% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 49%Verified PnL#589 of 1156
Beats 44%Win rate#532 of 963
Beats 22%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#779 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board58
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$32K
Verified lifetime PnL
$159.14MVolume
62.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.02%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$31.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$13.8K
0.02% ROI35% Win rate · n=889
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$925.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$58.5KExact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Sports · Yes
- +$23.8KExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?Sports · Yes
- +$23.6KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Sports · No
- +$22.5KWill France win on 2026-07-18?Sports · No
- +$17.6KWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$135.2KExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$123.5KExact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$118.5KExact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$61.3KExact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?Sports · No
- -$59.2KExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2958+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$851.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$32KVerified lifetime PnL
$81KBelow board-day sum
58Days on board
$112KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $309 |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $26K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $28K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $37K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $20K |
Which boards
Sports 58All markets 3
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$112K
Verified lifetime PnL$32K
Verification gap-$81K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)