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reasoningTokens
0xd0d9bc316073acb95addf458c2246517a3889074
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$52.76 · loses the most in Finance -$2,148
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,601Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,266Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$987Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$361Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$130Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,088Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$855Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Finance · Yes
- -$800Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Finance · No
- -$600Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$500GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Covers all 86 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 39 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$6,014). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $22 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $818 |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $257 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $208 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $60 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
11% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)