ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Talophex
0xd0db79306c38e8ce1969ce80dde58fa67a67b117
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 54% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$44K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$27.9K · loses the most in Other -$3,374
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,641Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,635Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?Other · Yes
- +$1,378Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,190Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,107Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,197Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?Other · Yes / No
- -$1,199Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Finance · No
- -$1,072Biden drops out of presidential race?Politics · No
- -$1,017Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$926Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022?Other · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 39 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$4,268). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $164 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $326 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $916 |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $652 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)