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0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 93% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 93%Verified PnL#41 of 624
Beats 83%30-day PnL#101 of 594
Beats 50%Win rate#296 of 592
Beats 75%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#152 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-17
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.57M
Verified lifetime PnL
$68.87MVolume
64.3%Win rate (sample) · n=389
2.15%PnL ÷ Volume
$88K7-day PnL
$88K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.57M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,795only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$747partial
Liquidity rewards$6,690
2.28% ROI55.6% Win rate · n=450
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$641.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$128.4KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$48.4KBiden drops out in July? Politics · Yes
- +$46.0KWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics · No / Yes
- +$44.8KWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Politics · Yes / No
- +$41.5KYoon out as president of South Korea before May?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$182.1KWill Trump resign today?Politics · No
- -$122.3KWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · No
- -$47.2KWill Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · No / Yes
- -$32.6K[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Yes / No
- -$24.0KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.57MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.54MEarned off the board
27Days on board
$27KBoard-day sum
$88K7-day PnL
$88K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $23K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $756 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $147 |
Which boards
Politics 24Sports 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $747 (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$747
Maker rebate$672
Taker rebate$74
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-04-30 → 2026-07-15
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$27K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.57M
Verification gap$1.54M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)