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0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 76% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 76%Verified PnL#149 of 624
Beats 59%30-day PnL#244 of 594
#1Win rate#1 of 592
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#449 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board57
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$312K
Verified lifetime PnL
$178.07MVolume
100%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.18%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$312.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $169only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$520partial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.18% ROI100% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$182.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.7KWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture · No
- +$9,278Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Politics · No
- +$8,465MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$8,246US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$6,865Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8.99Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$312KVerified lifetime PnL
$224KEarned off the board
57Days on board
$88KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $18K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $57K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $11K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $438 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $748 |
Which boards
Politics 24Sports 16Mentions 12Culture 9Crypto 6Finance 2All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $520 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-31
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$520
Maker rebate$519
Taker rebate$1
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-21 → 2026-10-24
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$88K
Verified lifetime PnL$312K
Verification gap$224K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)