ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

curie

0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb

Archived snapshot. This address is no longer on the current boards, so this page is no longer refreshed. Board data as of 2026-09-24.

Days on board95
Archive span180 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$1.34M

Verified lifetime PnL

$91.05MVolume
67.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.64%PnL ÷ Volume
$59K7-day PnL
$123K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

$1.34MVerified lifetime PnL
$835KEarned off the board
95Days on board
$863KBoard-day sum
$59K7-day PnL
$123K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 4 $27K
2026-05 21 $313K
2026-06 18 $192K
2026-07 22 $202K
2026-08 19 $113K
2026-09 11 $16K

Which boards

Sports 93All markets 18Weather 3Politics 2

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

69% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $53K (7% maker / 93% taker)

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio69%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-05
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$53K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$49K
Maker share7%
Taker share93%
Window2026-01-28 → 2026-09-18

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$1.66M
Rebate$8K
Net total$1.66M
Window2026-08-19 → 2026-09-18

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$502K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.34M
Verification gap$835K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is a referral link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Archived 2026-09-24 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-09-23 (180 snapshots)