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0xd202bf6d89dc6bab1b9f00ead175f75466348973
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 3% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 3%Verified PnL#601 of 622
Beats 11%Win rate#503 of 568
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#563 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board50
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-31
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$571K
Verified lifetime PnL
$33.45MVolume
40%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.82%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$571.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9,093only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$48.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,186
-1.71% ROI39.9% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$492.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$67.1KEngland vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$65.0KLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSports · Top Esports
- +$61.9KMexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSports · England
- +$60.0KWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
- +$58.1KWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$76.9KUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSports · United States
- -$72.6KEngland vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · England
- -$71.6KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · Bilibili Gaming
- -$64.1KWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
- -$61.8KWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
-$571KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.24MBelow board-day sum
50Days on board
$904KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $17K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $245K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $184K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $131K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $57K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $6K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $265K |
Which boards
Sports 47All markets 18
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
88% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $48K (60% maker / 40% taker); rebate covers 4% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio88%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$48K
Maker rebate$29K
Taker rebate$19K
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-04-05 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$207K
Rebate$8K
Net total-$199K
Rebate covers loss4%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$671K
Verified lifetime PnL-$571K
Verification gap-$1.24M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)