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LinusB
0xd3c0b00e826cd63de9b25a8ec446c93f3d91d212
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$4,105 · loses the most in Politics -$16.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,072Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics · Yes
- +$1,340Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 15?Weather · Yes
- +$1,297Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Crypto · No
- +$1,204Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?Culture · No
- +$828Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$20.3KUS strikes Yemen by December 31?Politics · No
- -$3,941Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Crypto · Yes
- -$1,358Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 21?Weather · No / Yes
- -$1,314Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Culture · Yes
- -$507Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $315 |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $208 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)