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Annihilation
0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 33% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 33%Verified PnL#750 of 1130
Beats 38%30-day PnL#499 of 810
Beats 40%Win rate#548 of 928
Beats 54%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#436 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$661KVolume
60.5%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.97%PnL ÷ Volume
$1037-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$7,628
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $642only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$96partial
Liquidity rewards$1,224
1.15% ROI60.5% Win rate · n=397
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$3,302 · loses the most in Finance -$394
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,494Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?Culture · No
- +$869Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$857Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$827Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Culture · Yes
- +$783Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,828Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics · No
- -$1,434Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Politics · No
- -$1,397Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?Culture · No
- -$1,219Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$1,143Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KEarned off the board
21Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$1037-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $7 |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $827 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $433 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $970 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $80 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $486 |
Which boards
Tech 8Culture 8Finance 4Politics 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
42% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $96 (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio42%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$96
Maker rebate$84
Taker rebate$12
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-05-03 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$8K
Verification gap$5K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)