ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0xd5ac04dc…
0xd5ac04dc2e2be2b0e6f8802acd2e4dc5d4a80510
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 21% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 21%Verified PnL#910 of 1156
Beats 93%Win rate#63 of 963
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#831 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-06-08
Last seen2026-08-06
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$995KVolume
95%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.20%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1,452
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $48only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$4
-0.15% ROI93.1% Win rate · n=408
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$2,736
Top 5 winning markets
- +$414Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?Weather · Yes
- +$343Jingshan: Wushuang Zheng vs Sara Sorribes TormoSports · Sara Sorribes Tormo
- +$259England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSports · Over
- +$199Tampere: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto VirtanenSports · Otto Virtanen
- +$186Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · Spain
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,558Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?Weather · Yes / No
- -$1,329Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 3 - 0 Getafe CF?Sports · No
- -$1,161Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina CharaevaSports · Alina Charaeva / Sara Sorribes Tormo
- -$981Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?Sports · No
- -$685Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 8 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,547). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
7Days on board
$848Board-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $76 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $696 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $75 |
Which boards
Sports 7
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$848
Verified lifetime PnL-$1K
Verification gap-$2K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)