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← All boardscaishiopt
0xd5dc16a421717a6e2499818b76a76880874ad1df
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 14% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 14%Verified PnL#536 of 625
Beats 33%Win rate#375 of 566
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#585 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board11
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-06-21
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$168KVolume
54.8%Win rate · n=62
-5.06%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$7,179
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$94
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$21
-4.28% ROI54.8% Win rate · n=62
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$734 · loses the most in Tech & science -$5,989
Top 5 winning markets
- +$932Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Finance · Yes
- +$440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Finance · Yes
- +$342MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- +$324Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Crypto · Yes
- +$301Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,945Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,614Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · Yes
- -$1,312Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics · Yes
- -$493Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Finance · Yes
- -$222Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Finance · Yes
Covers all 64 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KBelow board-day sum
11Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $127 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $655 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $480 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $271 |
Which boards
Finance 11
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
54% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio54%
Fills measured311
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scope575 days
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$7K
Verification gap-$9K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)