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Neumann97
0xd5e22e9c1a958e5dc437f3d7ef34cf388c3fbd16
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 22%Verified PnL#873 of 1130
Beats 39%30-day PnL#493 of 810
Beats 70%Win rate#275 of 928
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#937 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-22
Last seen2026-09-02
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$221
Verified lifetime PnL
$52KVolume
75.9%Win rate · n=29
-3.59%PnL ÷ Volume
$117-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$221
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$161
Rebates (maker + taker)$10partial
Liquidity rewards$2
-0.43% ROI71% Win rate · n=31
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$4.68 · loses the most in Tech & science -$225
Top 5 winning markets
- +$732Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$650Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$585Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Tech & science · Yes
- +$473Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$353Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,055Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,002Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$768Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$700Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech & science · Yes
- -$234Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech & science · No
Covers all 36 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 2 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$932). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$221Verified lifetime PnL
$432Below board-day sum
7Days on board
$211Board-day sum
$117-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 4 | $45 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $66 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $100 |
Which boards
Tech 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
19% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $10 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio19%
Fills measured128
Window ends2026-10-09
Window scope336 days
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$10
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$10
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-08-07 → 2026-08-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$211
Verified lifetime PnL-$221
Verification gap-$432
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)