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CAcap

0xd619b68e64f256f8ddd185b261c8679eacf0c461

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 8% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 8%Verified PnL#568 of 624
Beats 13%30-day PnL#515 of 594
Beats 82%Win rate#105 of 592
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#565 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-01
Last seen2026-09-06
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$66K

Verified lifetime PnL

$7.47MVolume
83.5%Win rate (sample) · n=395
-1.01%PnL ÷ Volume
$12K7-day PnL
-$9K30-day PnL
2026-07 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$66.4K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $151only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$11.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$656
-0.89% ROI37.4% Win rate · n=882

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker76% of 405 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 9% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 6.7 h)Mid-price trader63% of 456 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly sports81% of last 500 fills (over 6.7 h) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$228.1K

Sports400 pos.+$228.1K

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

-$66KVerified lifetime PnL
$124KBelow board-day sum
33Days on board
$58KBoard-day sum
$12K7-day PnL
-$9K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-07 17 $22K
2026-08 14 $32K
2026-09 2 $4K

Which boards

Sports 33All markets 3

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

76% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $11K (100% maker / 0% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio76%
Fills measured405
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scope0 days

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$11K
Maker rebate$11K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-06-15 → 2026-10-30

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$386K
Rebate$3K
Net total$389K
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$58K
Verified lifetime PnL-$66K
Verification gap-$124K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)