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Painfulvoid
0xd6966eb1ae7b52320ba7ab1016680198c9e08a49
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 2% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 2%Verified PnL#1129 of 1156
Beats 85%30-day PnL#120 of 812
Beats 91%Win rate#78 of 963
Beats 6%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#936 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board62
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$590K
Verified lifetime PnL
$41.79MVolume
93.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.69%PnL ÷ Volume
-$5K7-day PnL
$123K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$590.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $7,218only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$33.7Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$346
-1.41% ROI41.7% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$2.33M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$119.5KSpurs vs. KnicksSports · Spurs / Knicks
- +$75.2KClippers vs. Trail BlazersSports · Clippers / Trail Blazers
- +$68.4KPurdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan WolverinesSports · Purdue Boilermakers
- +$65.0KGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceSports · Paraguay
- +$62.7KSpread: Eagles (-2.5)Sports · Bears
Top 5 losing markets
- -$120.8KMexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSports · Mexico
- -$105.2KUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Max Holloway
- -$62.5KKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsSports · No
- -$46.8KUFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports · Islam Dulatov
- -$45.2KKnicks vs. SpursSports · Spurs
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2369 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$7.38M). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$590KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.13MBelow board-day sum
62Days on board
$540KBoard-day sum
-$5K7-day PnL
$123K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $22K |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $145K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $219K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $100K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $23K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $31K |
Which boards
Sports 62All markets 13
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
19% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $34K (19% maker / 81% taker); recent window rebate share 3%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio19%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$34K
Maker rebate$6K
Taker rebate$27K
Maker share19%
Taker share81%
Window2026-03-16 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$121K
Rebate$4K
Net total$124K
Rebate share3%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$540K
Verified lifetime PnL-$590K
Verification gap-$1.13M
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)