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0xd6b6d5b462dd651ffdb2e54e61a951979de3793f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 33% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 33%Verified PnL#413 of 625
Beats 68%30-day PnL#165 of 519
Beats 80%Win rate#110 of 566
Beats 46%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#320 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-07
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$14K
Verified lifetime PnL
$740KVolume
82.5%Win rate · n=97
0.85%PnL ÷ Volume
-$12K7-day PnL
$25K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$12.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,608only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$692partial
Liquidity rewards$10
1.66% ROI22.3% Win rate · n=359
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$109.4K · loses the most in Culture -$334
Top 5 winning markets
- +$11.9KWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Crypto · No
- +$10.8KWill Ethereum dip to $2,650 on October 6?Crypto · Yes
- +$6,476Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 18?Crypto · Yes
- +$6,472Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?Crypto · Yes
- +$6,093Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 16?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$679Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?Crypto · No
- -$435Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 31?Crypto · Yes
- -$334Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Culture · Yes
- -$298Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?Crypto · No
- -$89.76Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers all 127 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$14KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KBelow board-day sum
8Days on board
$19KBoard-day sum
-$12K7-day PnL
$25K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $790 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $308 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $512 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $90 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $186 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $17K |
Which boards
Crypto 7Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
59% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $692 (55% maker / 45% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio59%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-10-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$692
Maker rebate$382
Taker rebate$310
Maker share55%
Taker share45%
Window2026-05-07 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$19K
Verified lifetime PnL$14K
Verification gap-$5K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)