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0xd71776a8d4fddeb3c150c4607b3f8bec31213b85
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#389 of 624
Beats 84%30-day PnL#94 of 594
Beats 10%Win rate#527 of 592
Beats 24%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#466 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$25K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.93MVolume
38.9%Win rate (sample) · n=113
0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$20K7-day PnL
$98K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$24.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $7only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,345partial
Liquidity rewards$163
0.85% ROI35% Win rate · n=200
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$30.2K · loses the most in Finance -$585
Top 5 winning markets
- +$17.0KWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Sports · Yes / No
- +$16.0KWill the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Sports · No
- +$11.1KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$7,278Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Sports · No
- +$6,252Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Sports · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.1KWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports · No / Yes
- -$4,100Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Sports · Yes / No
- -$3,929Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Sports · Yes / No
- -$2,312Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,691Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$25KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KEarned off the board
27Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
$20K7-day PnL
$98K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $81 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $987 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $153 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $545 |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $9K |
Which boards
Sports 12Weather 10Tech 7Politics 3Culture 3Crypto 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
38% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (60% maker / 40% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio38%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$805
Taker rebate$540
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-05-24 → 2026-10-14
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$25K
Verification gap$14K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)