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← All boardstdrhrhhd
0xd7f85d0eb0fe0732ca38d9107ad0d4d01b1289e4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 96% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 96%Verified PnL#25 of 624
Beats 23%30-day PnL#455 of 594
Beats 15%Win rate#503 of 592
Beats 98%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#8 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board31
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$2.41M
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.57MVolume
43.6%Win rate · n=62
15.47%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7077-day PnL
-$65530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2.41M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $824only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$128partial
Liquidity rewards$2,413
15.5% ROI41.5% Win rate · n=65
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2.35M · loses the most in Sports -$5,743
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.46MWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$601.1KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$329.2KWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$80.3KFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$57.3K2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HousePolitics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$43.9KWill Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Politics · Yes / No
- -$29.3KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$29.0KUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics · No
- -$10.8KWill Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics · Yes
- -$9,775Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto · No
Covers all 65 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$2.41MVerified lifetime PnL
$2.34MEarned off the board
31Days on board
$70KBoard-day sum
-$7077-day PnL
-$65530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $34K |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $9K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $12K |
Which boards
Politics 24Sports 8All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $128 (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$128
Maker rebate$113
Taker rebate$15
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-05-07 → 2026-09-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$70K
Verified lifetime PnL$2.41M
Verification gap$2.34M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)