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0xd84403efd50b49a1d8a7181627e00307e6ea5908
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#301 of 624
Beats 80%30-day PnL#118 of 594
Beats 33%Win rate#394 of 592
Beats 42%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#354 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-03
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$56K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.45MVolume
54.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.69%PnL ÷ Volume
$22K7-day PnL
$69K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$56.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $549only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$33.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$344
1.03% ROI24.1% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1,984 · loses the most in Crypto -$4,081
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,984Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$782Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$747Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$728Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$719Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$829Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$820Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$794Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$758Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$731Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$56KVerified lifetime PnL
$54KEarned off the board
16Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$22K7-day PnL
$69K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 8 | $912 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $1K |
Which boards
Crypto 16
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
40% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $33K (13% maker / 87% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio40%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$33K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$29K
Maker share13%
Taker share87%
Window2026-07-18 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$857K
Rebate$18K
Net total$875K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$56K
Verification gap$54K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)