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0xd86d87914387111b47355e87aca7c032dbe5648d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 43% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 43%Verified PnL#350 of 624
Beats 60%30-day PnL#238 of 594
Beats 77%Win rate#136 of 592
Beats 72%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#169 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-09
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$36K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.57MVolume
79.9%Win rate · n=229
2.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$36.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $753only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$109partial
Liquidity rewards$308
2.31% ROI71.2% Win rate · n=257
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$36.6K · loses the most in Crypto -$5,042
Top 5 winning markets
- +$17.4KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$16.3KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$12.4KWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Politics · Yes
- +$9,4812025 September second hottest on record?Weather · Yes
- +$5,272Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$25.0KWill Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Politics · Yes
- -$8,149Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · Yes
- -$7,642Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · No
- -$4,791Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$2,686Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 262 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$36KVerified lifetime PnL
$31KEarned off the board
5Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 4Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
74% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $109 (91% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio74%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$109
Maker rebate$99
Taker rebate$10
Maker share91%
Taker share9%
Window2026-05-19 → 2026-10-06
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$36K
Verification gap$31K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)