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0xd8f8c13644ea84d62e1ec88c5d1215e436eb0f11
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 58% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 58%Verified PnL#259 of 624
Beats 27%30-day PnL#431 of 594
Beats 10%Win rate#530 of 592
Beats 80%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#120 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-29
Last seen2026-06-27
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$88K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.49MVolume
38.2%Win rate (sample) · n=335
2.53%PnL ÷ Volume
-$07-day PnL
-$130-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$88.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $246only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$96partial
Liquidity rewards$11
2.53% ROI19.1% Win rate · n=669
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$82.8K · loses the most in Culture -$928
Top 5 winning markets
- +$8,741Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?Weather · Yes
- +$7,145Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 4?Weather · Yes
- +$5,714Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on June 8?Weather · No
- +$5,020Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 3?Weather · Yes
- +$4,503Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,960Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on March 13?Weather · Yes
- -$1,250Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 23?Weather · Yes
- -$1,000Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 23?Weather · Yes
- -$901Will Jony Ive join Meta before August?Tech & science · Yes
- -$797Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 13?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$88KVerified lifetime PnL
$85KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
-$07-day PnL
-$130-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $1K |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $939 |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $258 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $699 |
Which boards
Weather 8Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
63% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $96 (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio63%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$96
Maker rebate$89
Taker rebate$6
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$88K
Verification gap$85K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)