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JustHereWaiting
0xd923b58e7874de549b0b9bd07db49eeb2878f400
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 8%Verified PnL#1035 of 1130
Beats 43%30-day PnL#455 of 810
Beats 70%Win rate#277 of 928
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#909 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$64K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.50MVolume
75.7%Win rate · n=354
-1.82%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$64.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $434only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$327partial
Liquidity rewards$323
-1.83% ROI74.4% Win rate · n=360
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$2,705 · loses the most in Politics -$56.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$12.2KUS forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics · No
- +$8,833US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$3,433US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,821Epstein client list released in 2025?Politics · No
- +$2,697Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$53.7KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
- -$52.4KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$6,250US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · No / Yes
- -$5,665Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Politics · No
- -$4,420Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · No
Covers the 356 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 6 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$10.8K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$64KVerified lifetime PnL
$70KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $122 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $948 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $535 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $84 |
Which boards
Politics 16Culture 5
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $327 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$327
Maker rebate$321
Taker rebate$5
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-22 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL-$64K
Verification gap-$70K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)