ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

88M

0xd9dde44ddeababae222bf7aec96c85cbdab6b525

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 13% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 13%Verified PnL#977 of 1130

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board47
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$21K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$21.3K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $1,345only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$539
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleIn and out fastMedian hold 54 min across 20 bought-then-sold positionsMid-price trader72% of 437 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly sports90% of last 500 fills (over 7 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$234.6K · loses the most in Crypto -$1,310

Sports397 pos.+$234.6K
Politics2 pos.+$6,953
Crypto1 pos.-$1,310

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$11.5KShanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi ZhouSports · Hubert Hurkacz
  2. +$9,882China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin ZhuSports · Donna Vekic
  3. +$8,817Nuggets vs. CavaliersSports · Cavaliers
  4. +$8,331Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?Sports · Yes
  5. +$8,174Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro DanielSports · Fabian Marozsan

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$16.8KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Sports · Yes
  2. -$13.8KHornets vs. ThunderSports · Thunder
  3. -$11.3KSpurs vs. RocketsSports · Spurs
  4. -$10.2KMonterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja KrausSports · Sinja Kraus
  5. -$9,900Nuggets vs. BucksSports · Bucks

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 581 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$691.1K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$21KVerified lifetime PnL
$84KBelow board-day sum
47Days on board
$63KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 4 $4K
2026-05 12 $18K
2026-06 8 $13K
2026-07 8 $15K
2026-08 11 $11K
2026-09 4 $2K

Which boards

Sports 47

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$63K
Verified lifetime PnL-$21K
Verification gap-$84K

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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)