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0xda1547a7c3e164f2b5a0e6693f2f32e21250f349
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 18% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 18%Verified PnL#946 of 1156
Beats 0%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#993 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-09-17
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$6K
Verified lifetime PnL
$89KVolume
100%Win rate · n=5
-6.28%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$5,596
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$594
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
-6.28% ROI— Win rate · n=11
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$2,074 · loses the most in Sports -$7,059
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,174Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Tech & science · No
- +$1,236Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group ASports · G2
- +$838Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group ASports · Astralis
- +$272Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2.45Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,134UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sports · Khamzat Chimaev
- -$450Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$200Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$100Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Tech & science · Yes
- -$100Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers all 11 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 6 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$10.0K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $746 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $229 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $57 |
Which boards
Finance 21
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$6K
Verification gap-$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)