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0xda44d94bfc2a1a66e727c2bae18f9f4d51112442
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 31% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 31%Verified PnL#428 of 625
Beats 96%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#24 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-07-08
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$137KVolume
79%Win rate · n=19
7.70%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$8,571
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$1,131
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
6.24% ROI68.2% Win rate · n=22
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$9,320
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,131Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$2,391Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$2,002Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$1,707UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports · Max Holloway
- +$507Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$100Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Finance · No
- -$45.05Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$20.92Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Finance · Yes
- -$18.82Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Finance · Yes
Covers all 19 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KEarned off the board
5Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $91 |
Which boards
Sports 3Tech 1Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
4% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio4%
Fills measured74
Window ends2026-09-22
Window scope77 days
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap$8K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)