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← All boardsDrPufferfish
0xdb27bf2ac5d428a9c63dbc914611036855a6c56e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 98% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 98%Verified PnL#10 of 624
Beats 94%Win rate#31 of 592
Beats 66%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#211 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board22
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-23
Last seen2026-06-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4.04M
Verified lifetime PnL
$248.47MVolume
95%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.63%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4.04M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $105only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$16.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$7,656
1.63% ROI43.4% Win rate · n=876
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$37.69M · loses the most in Finance -$381
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.33MWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?Sports · No
- +$918.2KPacers vs. KnicksSports · Pacers
- +$673.5KMagic vs. CelticsSports · Celtics
- +$602.6KSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)Sports · Seahawks
- +$600.7KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$123.4KPistons vs. CelticsSports · Celtics / Pistons
- -$108.2KSpread: Pistons (-9.5)Sports · Pistons / Hawks
- -$96.4KSpread: Thunder (-11.5)Sports · Kings
- -$91.6KChiefs vs. BroncosSports · Chiefs
- -$86.4KEagles vs. ChargersSports · Eagles
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$4.04MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.74MEarned off the board
22Days on board
$2.30MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $528K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $1.12M |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $131K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $522K |
Which boards
Sports 22All markets 12
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $16K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Head-to-heads with other top wallets:
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-05-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$16K
Maker rebate$16K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-09 → 2026-05-13
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2.30M
Verified lifetime PnL$4.04M
Verification gap$1.74M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)