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0xdbf99963ba3e62c65a6870d0887d6f776e03b9cc
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 32% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 32%Verified PnL#425 of 625
Beats 40%30-day PnL#311 of 519
Beats 54%Win rate#257 of 566
Beats 57%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#253 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-07-10
Last seen2026-09-16
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$775KVolume
66.6%Win rate · n=353
1.29%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$10.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $109only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$112partial
Liquidity rewards$564
1.30% ROI43.9% Win rate · n=538
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$4,587
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,601Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$982Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$688Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$647Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$527Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$527Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Culture · No
- -$253Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics · No
- -$213Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics · No
- -$203Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$181Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Culture · No
Covers the 372 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$746Board-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $513 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $170 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $64 |
Which boards
Culture 6Politics 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
46% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $112 (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio46%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$112
Maker rebate$104
Taker rebate$8
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-04-29 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$746
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap$9K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)