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nigiri99
0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 1% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 1%Verified PnL#614 of 624
Beats 94%30-day PnL#33 of 594
Beats 22%Win rate#460 of 592
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#572 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board44
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-12
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$1.31M
Verified lifetime PnL
$143.33MVolume
49%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.19%PnL ÷ Volume
$198K7-day PnL
$495K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1.31M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9,671only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$457.7Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$42
-0.91% ROI40% Win rate · n=490
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$501.6K · loses the most in Finance -$372.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$221.5KUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazSports · Ben Shelton
- +$172.3KWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Sports · Yes
- +$171.3KRaptors vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
- +$155.7KWill CF América win on 2026-08-09?Sports · Yes
- +$128.6KWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$334.1KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$212.1KWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$157.7KWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$156.8KWill CF América win on 2026-08-13?Sports · Yes
- -$142.5KTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesSports · Tampa Bay Rays
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$1.31MVerified lifetime PnL
$3.47MBelow board-day sum
44Days on board
$2.19MBoard-day sum
$198K7-day PnL
$495K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 5 | $27K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $592K |
| 2026-09 | 18 | $1.44M |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $135K |
Which boards
Sports 41All markets 31Politics 5
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $458K (1% maker / 99% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$458K
Maker rebate$7K
Taker rebate$451K
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$20.02M
Rebate$131K
Net total$20.15M
Window2026-09-29 → 2026-10-29
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2.16M
Verified lifetime PnL-$1.31M
Verification gap-$3.47M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)