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0xdcc0d387f0af3628ff1f2aebffb17ece397822e1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 9%Verified PnL#568 of 625
Beats 53%Win rate#263 of 566
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#583 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board28
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-23
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$47K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.01MVolume
65.5%Win rate · n=55
-4.68%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$47.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$205
-4.68% ROI65.5% Win rate · n=55
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$38.9K · loses the most in Crypto -$86.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$26.8KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$15.0KWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$6,101US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics · Yes
- +$1,836Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,287Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$64.7KBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$10.8KWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$6,999Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$6,884Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$3,571Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers all 55 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$47KVerified lifetime PnL
$94KBelow board-day sum
28Days on board
$47KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $16K |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $14K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 25Crypto 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
88% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio88%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$47K
Verified lifetime PnL-$47K
Verification gap-$94K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)