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0xdd225a03cd7ed89e3931906c67c75ab31cf89ef1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 80% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 80%Verified PnL#124 of 624
Beats 44%30-day PnL#329 of 594
Beats 33%Win rate#393 of 592
Beats 51%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#299 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$468K
Verified lifetime PnL
$48.14MVolume
54.3%Win rate (sample) · n=372
0.97%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$467.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,546only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,372partial
Liquidity rewards$2,405
0.97% ROI53.3% Win rate · n=379
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$108.8K · loses the most in Weather -$4,204
Top 5 winning markets
- +$207.8KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Sports · Yes
- +$150.6KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Sports · Yes
- +$150.0KWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?Sports · Yes
- +$146.5KWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$145.2KWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$138.5KWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$100.4KWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$100.0KWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$93.8KWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$73.3KWill England win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$468KVerified lifetime PnL
$411KEarned off the board
36Days on board
$57KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $47K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $176 |
Which boards
Sports 13Politics 11Tech 9Finance 3Crypto 2Mentions 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (95% maker / 5% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio86%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-26
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$117
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-01-15 → 2026-08-26
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$57K
Verified lifetime PnL$468K
Verification gap$411K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)