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Houdray
0xddd85ddfa58784925990c16c9858ccd62e4ee6f7
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 42% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 42%Verified PnL#645 of 1130
Beats 43%30-day PnL#459 of 810
Beats 44%Win rate#513 of 928
Beats 33%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#637 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-12
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$22K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.24MVolume
62.9%Win rate (sample) · n=367
0.30%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$21.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $38only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$142partial
Liquidity rewards$157
0.30% ROI58.8% Win rate · n=393
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$362.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$25.8KWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$22.4KWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$22.2KWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$19.6KWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$19.5KWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.5KWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$10.3KWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$10.0KWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$9,996Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$8,304Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 26 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$736). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$22KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KEarned off the board
27Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $189 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $504 |
Which boards
Tech 18Culture 7Politics 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $142 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$142
Maker rebate$138
Taker rebate$4
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$22K
Verification gap$14K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)