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0xde68293bce7ee14695a0d054b12c8f2e081242ce
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 20%Verified PnL#495 of 625
Beats 26%30-day PnL#382 of 519
Beats 38%Win rate#346 of 566
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#397 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-07-13
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$236
Verified lifetime PnL
$57KVolume
57.5%Win rate · n=294
0.41%PnL ÷ Volume
$37-day PnL
$830-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$234
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$365
0.41% ROI21.5% Win rate · n=786
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$334
Top 5 winning markets
- +$49.5Will "Mexico" be in the headlines this week?Culture · Yes
- +$49.3Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 5?Culture · Yes
- +$48.5Will Trump say "Journey" or "Travel" or "Travelled" during remarks at Steel Across America?Politics · Yes
- +$48.5Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?Culture · Yes
- +$42.37Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$21.61Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?Politics · Yes
- -$6.2Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$5.5Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$3.59Portland Timbers vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Sports · Under
- -$3.12Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?Sports · Yes
Covers the 306 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$236Verified lifetime PnL
$95Earned off the board
9Days on board
$141Board-day sum
$37-day PnL
$830-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 2 | $39 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $72 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $29 |
Which boards
Mentions 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio94%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$141
Verified lifetime PnL$236
Verification gap$95
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)