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wisechinaman
0xdec2a6879cf654e6bc2c0e125f65b2fa3e27b015
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 36% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 36%Verified PnL#723 of 1130
Beats 30%30-day PnL#562 of 810
Beats 19%Win rate#747 of 928
Beats 56%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#419 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-08
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$944KVolume
50.1%Win rate (sample) · n=393
1.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$27830-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$9,904
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $163only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$96partial
Liquidity rewards$194
1.05% ROI50.1% Win rate · n=393
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$3,465 · loses the most in Crypto -$550
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,137US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,724Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Sports · Yes
- +$1,395MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$1,151Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$987Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,981Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Small Business Summit?Politics · No
- -$653US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$579Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Culture · Yes
- -$529US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$492Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$9KEarned off the board
20Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$27830-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $27 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $434 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $324 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $357 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $150 |
Which boards
Sports 7Culture 5Mentions 4Politics 4Finance 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
50% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $96 (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio50%
Fills measured495
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$96
Maker rebate$86
Taker rebate$10
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-10-14
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap$9K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)