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0xdef6f7b147246e2bab5422c7363cdebbfd54f69a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 39% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 39%Verified PnL#376 of 624
Beats 67%30-day PnL#193 of 594
Beats 78%Win rate#126 of 592
Beats 53%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#290 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$28K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.94MVolume
81.8%Win rate · n=22
1.00%PnL ÷ Volume
-$17K7-day PnL
$21K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$27.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,202only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$448partial
Liquidity rewards$348
0.56% ROI56.3% Win rate · n=32
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$39.5K · loses the most in Politics -$22.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$39.0KWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$8,194Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather · No
- +$7,632Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Tech & science · Yes
- +$4,528MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$1,170Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.1KUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Politics · No
- -$7,800Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$4,738US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Politics · No
- -$2,842Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · Yes
- -$482Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Politics · No
Covers all 49 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$28KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
26Days on board
$25KBoard-day sum
-$17K7-day PnL
$21K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $843 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $215 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $322 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $20K |
Which boards
Weather 19Politics 4Sports 3
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $448 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$448
Maker rebate$434
Taker rebate$14
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-05-08 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$25K
Verified lifetime PnL$28K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)