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e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0

0xdefebc7ed6f5d6e8710398f37eea6fc1746a17f4

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 29% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 29%Verified PnL#440 of 624
Beats 56%30-day PnL#257 of 594
Beats 35%Win rate#383 of 592
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#534 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board48
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$9K

Verified lifetime PnL

$11.20MVolume
55.2%Win rate (sample) · n=397
-0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$12K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
2026-03 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$9,135

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$8,155partial
Liquidity rewards$16.6K
0.08% ROI53.5% Win rate · n=411

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker96% of 488 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 9% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 48 h)Mainly crypto61% of last 500 fills (over 48 h) are crypto marketsAdds on strength63% of 16 multi-buy positions added 10%+ above the first priceRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Finance -$53.3K

Crypto2 pos.-$2,354
Finance398 pos.-$53.3K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$32.3KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Finance · Up
  2. +$20.9KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?Finance · Up
  3. +$15.8KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Finance · Down / Up
  4. +$15.7KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?Finance · Up
  5. +$15.3KSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?Finance · Up

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$40.1KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?Finance · Down
  2. -$32.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?Finance · Up
  3. -$23.7KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?Finance · Down / Up
  4. -$21.3KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?Finance · Up
  5. -$21.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?Finance · Up

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$75KBelow board-day sum
48Days on board
$84KBoard-day sum
$12K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 2 $11K
2026-04 9 $48K
2026-05 7 $2K
2026-06 12 $8K
2026-07 8 $2K
2026-08 4 $1K
2026-09 3 $3K
2026-10 3 $8K

Which boards

Finance 48

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8K (96% maker / 4% taker); recent window rebate share 3%

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio96%
Fills measured488
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scope2 days

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$8K
Maker rebate$8K
Taker rebate$315
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-04-15 → 2026-10-23

Profit composition

Trade-dominated

Trade cash$20K
Rebate$569
Net total$20K
Rebate share3%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$84K
Verified lifetime PnL$9K
Verification gap-$75K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)