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← All boardsBMM-1
0xdf1c2e388bde2fbacabaf85c75a6b69cc35e2ebb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 45% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 45%Verified PnL#342 of 624
Beats 74%30-day PnL#154 of 594
Beats 94%Win rate#31 of 592
Beats 89%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#69 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board47
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$38K
Verified lifetime PnL
$661KVolume
95%Win rate · n=20
3.73%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7K7-day PnL
$38K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$38.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $950only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$603partial
Liquidity rewards$422
5.81% ROI95% Win rate · n=20
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$12.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,156Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Finance · Yes
- +$5,500SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Finance · Up
- +$4,046Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,200Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,068Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
Covers all 20 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$38KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KBelow board-day sum
47Days on board
$52KBoard-day sum
-$7K7-day PnL
$38K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $13K |
| 2026-10 | 7 | $22K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $8K |
Which boards
Finance 43Politics 4Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $603 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured309
Window ends2026-09-09
Window scope192 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$603
Maker rebate$588
Taker rebate$15
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-05-01 → 2026-09-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$52K
Verified lifetime PnL$38K
Verification gap-$14K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)