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0xdf273e0f…
0xdf273e0fe72a613b27de588aaa5237f3b76ae6e4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 31% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$4,040 · loses the most in Crypto -$164
Top 5 winning markets
- +$709Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics · No / Yes
- +$477Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics · No
- +$370Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$311Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- +$302Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$534Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$216Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Politics · No
- -$174Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics · No / Yes
- -$138Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 211 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$515). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $277 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $20 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $102 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)