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0xdff848bc245f1db1f8ad42b630a506955e213c8b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#437 of 624
Beats 47%30-day PnL#313 of 594
Beats 43%Win rate#337 of 592
Beats 78%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#135 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$253KVolume
60.4%Win rate · n=379
2.36%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$9,606
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,096only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$95partial
Liquidity rewards$975
3.80% ROI56.7% Win rate · n=404
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$10.9K · loses the most in Sports -$246
Top 5 winning markets
- +$869Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture · Yes
- +$794Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Culture · Yes
- +$678Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture · Yes
- +$613Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?Culture · Yes
- +$589Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$537Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?Culture · Yes
- -$475Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · No
- -$471Knicks vs. 76ersSports · 76ers
- -$342TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State BuckeyesSports · Ohio State Buckeyes
- -$325UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Max Holloway
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$7KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $545 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $837 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $817 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $436 |
Which boards
Culture 12Sports 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
67% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $95 (81% maker / 19% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio67%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$95
Maker rebate$77
Taker rebate$18
Maker share81%
Taker share19%
Window2026-04-12 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap$7K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)