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← All boardsTAIWANNUMBERONE
0xe015b5a2a299167be835a2fd1e86f09c49e06ffd
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 5% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 5%Verified PnL#588 of 624
Beats 22%30-day PnL#461 of 594
Beats 90%Win rate#60 of 592
Beats 5%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#584 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board45
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-13
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$223K
Verified lifetime PnL
$44.84MVolume
91.5%Win rate (sample) · n=398
-1.73%PnL ÷ Volume
$256K7-day PnL
-$75930-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$222.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $16.8Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$65.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$7,725
-0.50% ROI41.1% Win rate · n=886
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$4.66M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$123.1KLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Sports · Invictus Gaming
- +$86.4KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSports · Anyone's Legend
- +$77.4KLoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSports · JD Gaming
- +$59.9KCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group ASports · Astralis
- +$58.3KLoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSports · Gen.G
Top 5 losing markets
- -$146.2KLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Sports · T1
- -$81.6KNotre Dame vs. BYUSports · Notre Dame
- -$53.2KLoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsSports · DN SOOPers / T1
- -$52.1KRavens vs. BrownsSports · Ravens
- -$41.9KGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Sports · DN SOOPers
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$223KVerified lifetime PnL
$434KBelow board-day sum
45Days on board
$211KBoard-day sum
$256K7-day PnL
-$75930-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $794 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $107K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $10K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $83K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $5K |
Which boards
Sports 31Politics 14All markets 9Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
82% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $65K (82% maker / 18% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio82%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$65K
Maker rebate$54K
Taker rebate$12K
Maker share82%
Taker share18%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.41M
Rebate$11K
Net total$1.42M
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$211K
Verified lifetime PnL-$223K
Verification gap-$434K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)