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0xe040ffe586e21cb49449e8daf19b1cdff87a824f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 47% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 47%Verified PnL#325 of 624
Beats 78%30-day PnL#129 of 594
Beats 8%Win rate#540 of 592
Beats 54%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#283 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-01
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$45K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.83MVolume
36.2%Win rate (sample) · n=293
1.07%PnL ÷ Volume
$34K7-day PnL
$59K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$45.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,576partial
Liquidity rewards$1,225
1.19% ROI19.4% Win rate · n=545
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$72.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,616Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
- +$4,539Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Sports · No
- +$3,079Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- +$3,040Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- +$2,643Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,162Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?Sports · No
- -$2,152Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?Sports · No
- -$1,573Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- -$1,466Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$736Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$45KVerified lifetime PnL
$36KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$34K7-day PnL
$59K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $403 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $404 |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 16 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 20Sports 17Weather 14Tech 5Culture 5Finance 3
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $3K (85% maker / 15% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$384
Maker share85%
Taker share15%
Window2026-05-16 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$45K
Verification gap$36K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)