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0xe0969a9ad466da69e034b271ef4e74ebd592be8e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 24% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 24%Verified PnL#469 of 624
Beats 49%30-day PnL#300 of 594
Beats 32%Win rate#402 of 592
Beats 35%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#399 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$5K
Verified lifetime PnL
$986KVolume
53.5%Win rate · n=142
0.44%PnL ÷ Volume
$2217-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4,845
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $289only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,017partial
Liquidity rewards$646
0.49% ROI17.7% Win rate · n=430
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$15.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,361Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$4,166Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,618Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$2,450US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,385Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,343Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,279Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,214Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,181Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- -$746Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Covers all 147 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$5KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
21Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$2217-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $69 |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $705 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $251 |
Which boards
Finance 9Culture 7Tech 4Politics 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$2
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-30 → 2026-10-08
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$5K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)