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hfv
0xe102b1da4367d827b48c47ea91fadf6997ff71df
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 5% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 5%Verified PnL#1068 of 1130
Beats 2%Win rate#901 of 928
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#883 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-10-03
Last seen2026-11-02
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$173K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.97MVolume
29.2%Win rate (sample) · n=390
-1.22%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$173.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $76only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$297.8K
-1.44% ROI26.6% Win rate · n=429
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$1,439 · loses the most in Politics -$19.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,499Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesSports · Michigan Wolverines
- +$992Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2?Weather · Yes
- +$878Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?Weather · Yes
- +$757Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11?Weather · Yes
- +$726Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,115Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- -$1,500Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Tech & science · No
- -$1,443US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Politics · No
- -$1,271France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,237Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5Sports · Under
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 39 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$758). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$173KVerified lifetime PnL
$174KBelow board-day sum
5Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-11 | 2 | $74 |
Which boards
Mentions 4Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL-$173K
Verification gap-$174K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)