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0xe16d3f2a5807999b358affd9445c3a09e45e5e30
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 2% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 2%Verified PnL#610 of 624
Beats 84%30-day PnL#95 of 594
Beats 92%Win rate#41 of 592
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#574 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-19
Last seen2026-08-15
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$986K
Verified lifetime PnL
$79.87MVolume
93.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.23%PnL ÷ Volume
$23K7-day PnL
$97K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$985.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $34.2Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$244.4Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
-1.23% ROI41.7% Win rate · n=897
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$9.93M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$187.6KDota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageSports · Aurora
- +$185.3KDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSports · Xtreme Gaming
- +$182.6KDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsSports · PARIVISION
- +$180.3KDota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSports · LGD Gaming
- +$179.9KDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSports · Virtus.pro
Top 5 losing markets
- -$108.0KDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerSports · TEAM VISION / Team Falcons
- -$46.0KDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerSports · BoomBoys
- -$45.0KDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSports · TEAM VISION
- -$40.0KDota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerSports · Heroic
- -$37.0KDota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerSports · South America Rejects
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$986KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.44MBelow board-day sum
8Days on board
$458KBoard-day sum
$23K7-day PnL
$97K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $371K |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $85K |
Which boards
Sports 7All markets 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
37% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $244K (1% maker / 99% taker); recent window rebate share 25%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio37%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$244K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$242K
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-06-20 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$108K
Rebate$36K
Net total$144K
Rebate share25%
Window2026-10-02 → 2026-11-01
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$458K
Verified lifetime PnL-$986K
Verification gap-$1.44M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)